I decided not only to put out my college picks tonight(Wed) but also my pro picks as I do like a couple of plays on Turkey Day. And once again I would like to wish everyone a very HAPPY TURKEY DAY. The lines I have are the current lines as of Wednesday night and could possibly change. I am again confused by a few of the spreads but it is what it is, the oddsmakers must know something I don't. So on this Thanksgiving weekend here are my picks for week 12 in the NFL.
BEST BETS
My FIRST BEST BET this week again is on the CAROLINA PANTHERS on the road getting 2 points from the Dallas Cowboys. YES I know Romo is back and he threw 2 td passes but he also threw 2 picks last week against the Phish, while Newton threw 5 tds and no picks and yet the undefeated Panthers are getting a point and half from the Cowboys....WHY?? I for one will take the 2 points with the Panthers who will win this game outright on Turkey Day in Dallas. I am making the Panthers my first BEST BET of the week.
My NEXT BEST BET this week is on the CINCINNATI BENGALS at home giving the St. Louis Rams 8 points. The Bengals are on a 2 game losing streak after starting 8-0. They cannot be in a very good mood coming home after losing to Arizona last Sunday night. The Rams benched Nick Foles and for good reason he is horrible and they started Case Keenum who should NOT be playing this week but probably will. The Rams are now playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and that alone has to take its toll but deciding who to qb for them puts the icing on the cake for me. I am making the Bengals my next BEST BET of the week.
My NEXT BEST BET is on the GREEN BAY PACKERS at home giving the Bears 8 1/2 points on Turkey Day. The Pack is Back as they got their mojo back last week beating the Vikings in Minnesota by 17. To make this pick even easier for me the Packers have owned this series going 9-1 ATS and SU the last 10 meetings. I look for Rodgers to have a great day, with Rodgers as quarterback the Packers are 11-1 SU and ATS when laying single digits. Also this is the Bears 3rd road game in 4 weeks going to San Diego and St. Louis before hosting Denver. I will make the Packers my next BEST BET for this week.
My LAST BEST BET this week is on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS on the road getting a point from the Atlanta Falcons. This is another line I don't understand as the Falcons are on a 3 game losing streak and the Vikings won 5 in a row before dropping a stinker to the Packers last week. The Falcons will be without RB Freeman and WR Hester this week and Manny Ice has been thawing out lately as he threw 3 picks last week against the Colts. I see the Vikings bouncing back this week against a Falcons team that is in total disarray. I will make the Vikings my last BEST BET of the week.
REGULAR PLAYS
As for regular plays I like the Tampa Bay/Indianapolis game OVER 46 on Sunday. I like the New York Giants on the road giving 2 points to Washington on Sunday and I also like the OVER 46 in the Giants/Redskins game. I like Detroit at home giving a point to Philadelphia on Thanksgiving. And finally I like the OVER 45 1/2 in the Eagles/Lions game on Thanksgiving, the OVER 45 in the Bears/Packers game on Thanksgiving
Well that's it for this week in the NFL...
And as always - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.
