This is always a sad day for me as it is the last game of the year and now we have to go thru withdrawl until September. We can only hope next year will be way way better than this year and the we have COVID19 pandemic is in our rear view mirror. It is also a sad day for me as I am thinking that I will not be doing this next year as I think it is time to hang it up. So thank you to everyone who has stuck with me over these years including my stand in handicapper MOOSE THE GREEK. Also a very very special thanks to Brian who has allowed me to use his site to post my picks, thanks again Brian you are the best. So below are my picks on this year's Super Bowl.
The Tampa Bay Bucs are at home getting 3 points from the Kansas City Chiefs and the total is 56. I must admit I am surprised that neither number has changed all that much during the past 2 weeks with the spread flucuating between 3 and 3 1/2 and the O/U between 56 and 56 1/2. So as much as I can't root for Tom Brady, as enough is enough give someone else a chance, Tom, haven't you won enough? I just think they are going to give the Chiefs a real test as the Chiefs offensive line is not at full strength and that could really hurt them. I do think the over is the better play here and the spread is I hope doable for the Chiefs to cover, as the spread has not been an issue in the outcome either the underdog wins outright or the favorite covers the spread. So I will take the over as my best bet and my heart is with the Chiefs. So if I had my wish the winner of this game will be the Chiefs and my wishful score is KC 35 Tampa Bay 24.
I do like a few props - I like over 6 tds in the game between both teams. I think Fournette will carry the ball more than 11 1/2 times. I think Kelce will have over 97 1/2 yards receiving and finally I think that Mahomes will have over 23 1/2 yards rushing as long as he doesn't do a kneel down by moving backwards at the end of the game. LOL
So that's it and I hope everyone stays safe and that this off season withdrawl will go quickly. Once again thanks to everyone who has followed me.
And as always - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.
So here we are Conference Championship weekend. This is when withdrawl starts to sink in that there are only 3 games left. My picks or rather my opinions are below as both games odds are surprisingly only what you would give for home field advantage, 3 points. As far as the over/under numbers both are in the 50s which is a surprise as the overs have been on hiatus these past few weeks. Below are my opinion picks for the Sunday games,
The Green Bay Packers are at home giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 3 1/2 points and the total is 52 1/2. I must admit my heart is with the Packers as I for one have seen enough of Tom Brady in the Super Bowl. I can only hope that the Packers are in the Super Bowl and not Brady and the Bucs. I also hope that this is an entertaining game as I am not a big fan of defensive games. So if I had my wish the winner of this game will be the Packers and my wishful score is GB 31 Tampa Bay 27.
The Kansas City Chiefs are at home giving the Buffalo Bills 3 points and the total is 54 1/2. This is wishing that the Bills will be in the Super Bowl for the first time since 1994, the Chiefs got the albatross off their back last year and I am praying it happens for the Bills this year. Once again I am hoping for a good and clean offensive game and with these 2 teams I believe it is possible. The health of Mahomes I don't believe will be an issue so I am surprised the line is not higher. So once again I wish the winner of this game will be the Buffalo Bills and my wishful score is Buffalo 35 Kansas City 28.
I will be back, maybe for the last time in 2 weeks with my pick on the Super Bowl.
And as always - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.
Well whatta ya know I got both teams right yesterday, do I dare go for a sweep here LOL. So congrats to the Packers and Bills may the force be with both of you. Below are my picks for the Sunday games,
My first pick is the Kansas City Chiefs at home giving the Cleveland Browns 10 points and the total is 57. This is a really hard game for me to handicap as the Chiefs have not looked good the past 4 games and well the Browns have won 3 of the last 4 including 2 against Pittsburgh. I just think 10 points is too many to give the Browns today and the total is high considering the Chiefs offense has looked anemic. The Chiefs are sitting at 1-8 ATS their last 9 games but 8-1 SU. The Browns are 4-5 ATS and 7-2 SU. I am skeptical about taking the points but it is way too tempting not to take them. I think I will take the over just because both teams have defensive weakness that could help propel this game over. In the end I am taking Cleveland and the points and a hopefully doable over.
My next pick is the New Orleans Saints at home giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 2 1/2 points and the total is 53. I have 2 previous meetings to make this pick and I will take the Saints and Drew Brees to outscore the Bucs and Tom Brady. Here is a stat that helped me make this pick. From 1970 thru 2019 teams that have faced each other 3 times, the team that swept the first 2 in the regular season have won the 3rd one 67% of the time, this of course favors the Saints and that is who I am on and I do think the over is doable but it will be close. So give me the Saints and the over.
I will be back next week with my picks on the Conference championship games.
And as always - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.
So here we are in the Divisional playoff weekend and nobody has a bye anymore is one and done. So below are my picks for the Saturday games,
My first pick is the Green Bay Packers at home giving the Los Angeles Rams 6 points and the total is 45. The Packers and Rodgers are tough at home and I just don't think the Rams are going to fair well in the weather in Green Bay. I believe the Packers will cover this number but I am not sure at all about the over. If both teams can stop the run and don't allow 8 minute drives this game will go under but I think the better bet here is the Green Bay Packers.
My next pick is the Buffalo Bills at home giving the Baltimore Ravens 2 1/2 points and the total is 49. I know the Ravens are red hot right now but so are the Bills. Both teams are currently on a 7-0 SU streak with the Ravens 7-0 ATS and the Bills 6-1 ATS. My heart is with the Bills so this is a tough pick for me. I am going to stick with the Bills and I do like the over here. So Bills and over.
I will be back tonight with my pick on the Sunday games.
And as always - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.