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Written by Liz

Category: Pro Picks

Published: 07 February 2021

This is always a sad day for me as it is the last game of the year and now we have to go thru withdrawl until September. We can only hope next year will be way way better than this year and the we have COVID19 pandemic is in our rear view mirror. It is also a sad day for me as I am thinking that I will not be doing this next year as I think it is time to hang it up. So thank you to everyone who has stuck with me over these years including my stand in handicapper MOOSE THE GREEK. Also a very very special thanks to Brian who has allowed me to use his site to post my picks, thanks again Brian you are the best. So below are my picks on this year's Super Bowl.

The Tampa Bay Bucs are at home getting 3 points from the Kansas City Chiefs and the total is 56. I must admit I am surprised that neither number has changed all that much during the past 2 weeks with the spread flucuating between 3 and 3 1/2 and the O/U between 56 and 56 1/2. So as much as I can't root for Tom Brady, as enough is enough give someone else a chance, Tom, haven't you won enough?  I just think they are going to give the Chiefs a real test as the Chiefs offensive line is not at full strength and that could really hurt them. I do think the over is the better play here and the spread is I hope doable for the Chiefs to cover, as the spread has not been an issue in the outcome either the underdog wins outright or the favorite covers the spread. So I will take the over as my best bet and my heart is with the Chiefs. So if I had my wish the winner of this game will be the Chiefs and my wishful score is KC 35 Tampa Bay 24.

I do like a few props - I like over 6 tds in the game between both teams. I think Fournette will carry the ball more than 11 1/2 times. I think Kelce will have over 97 1/2 yards receiving and finally I think that Mahomes will have over 23 1/2 yards rushing as long as he doesn't do a kneel down by moving backwards at the end of the game. LOL

And as always  - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.  

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Written by Liz

Category: Pro Picks

Published: 24 January 2021

So here we are Conference Championship weekend. This is when withdrawl starts to sink in that there are only 3 games left.  My picks or rather my opinions are below as both games odds are surprisingly only what you would give for home field advantage, 3 points. As far as the over/under numbers both are in the 50s which is  a surprise as the overs have been on hiatus these past few weeks. Below are my opinion picks for the Sunday games, 

The Green Bay Packers are at home giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 3 1/2 points and the total is 52 1/2. I must admit my heart is with the Packers as I for one have seen enough of Tom Brady in the Super Bowl. I can only hope that the Packers are in the Super Bowl and not Brady and the Bucs. I also hope that this is an entertaining game as I am not a big fan of defensive games. So if I had my wish the winner of this game will be the Packers and my wishful score is GB 31 Tampa Bay 27.

The Kansas City Chiefs are at home giving the Buffalo Bills 3 points and the total is 54 1/2. This is wishing that the Bills will be in the Super Bowl for the first time since 1994, the Chiefs got the albatross off their back last year and I am praying it happens for the Bills this year. Once again I am hoping for a good and clean offensive game and with these 2 teams I believe it is possible. The health of Mahomes I don't believe will be an issue so I am surprised the line is not higher. So once again I wish the winner of this game will be the Buffalo Bills and my wishful score is Buffalo 35 Kansas City 28.

And as always  - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.  

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Written by Liz

Category: Pro Picks

Published: 17 January 2021

Well whatta ya know I got both teams right yesterday, do I dare go for a sweep here LOL. So congrats to the Packers and Bills may the force be with both of you. Below are my picks for the Sunday games, 

My first pick is the Kansas City Chiefs at home giving the Cleveland Browns 10 points and the total is 57. This is a really hard game for me to handicap as the Chiefs have not looked good the past 4 games and well the Browns have won 3 of the last 4 including 2 against Pittsburgh. I just think 10 points is too many to give the Browns today and the total is high considering the Chiefs offense has looked anemic. The Chiefs are sitting at 1-8 ATS their last 9 games but 8-1 SU. The Browns are 4-5 ATS and 7-2 SU. I am skeptical about taking the points but it is way too tempting not to take them. I think I will take the over just because both teams have defensive weakness that could help propel this game over. In the end I am taking Cleveland and the points and a hopefully doable over.

My next pick is the New Orleans Saints at home giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 2 1/2 points and the total is 53. I have 2 previous meetings to make this pick and I will take the Saints and Drew Brees to outscore the Bucs and Tom Brady. Here is a stat that helped me make this pick. From 1970 thru 2019 teams that have faced each other 3 times, the team that swept the first 2 in the regular season have won the 3rd one 67% of the time, this of course favors the Saints and that is who I am on and I do think the over is doable but it will be close. So give me the Saints and the over.

And as always  - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.  

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Written by Liz

Category: Pro Picks

Published: 16 January 2021

So here we are in the Divisional playoff weekend and nobody has a bye anymore is one and done. So below are my picks for the Saturday games, 

My first pick is the Green Bay Packers at home giving the Los Angeles Rams  6 points and the total is 45. The Packers and Rodgers are tough at home and I just don't think the Rams are going to fair well in the weather in Green Bay. I believe the Packers will cover this number but I am not sure at all about the over. If both teams can stop the run and don't allow 8 minute drives this game will go under but I think the better bet here is the Green Bay Packers.

My next pick is the Buffalo Bills at home giving the Baltimore Ravens 2 1/2 points and the total is 49. I know the Ravens are red hot right now but so are the Bills. Both teams are currently on a 7-0 SU streak with the Ravens 7-0 ATS and the Bills 6-1 ATS. My heart is with the Bills so this is a tough pick for me. I am going to stick with the Bills and I do like the over here. So Bills and over.

And as always  - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.  

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Written by Liz

Category: Pro Picks

Published: 10 January 2021

Congratulations to the Bills, Rams and Bucs as they have moved on in the playoffs. All 3 games went over the total yesterday which was a surprise to me but it is what it is. As for the stats on wildcard weekend 2 of the 3 away teams covered the spread moving the stats to 13-2 ATS on away teams covering on wildcard weekend so what will happen today. Below are my picks for the Sunday games, 

My first pick is the Baltimore Ravens on the road giving the Tennessee Titans 3 points and the total is 54. This should be a great game as both teams can score and I think the last team to score wins the game, but will it be a field goal or a td. I think the Ravens are the hotter team here and they will cover and this game should go over. Ravens and over for me.

My next pick is the New Orleans Saints at home giving the Chicago Bears 10 points and the total is 48. I am not sure the Saints are going to win this game by 10 points, if the line was 7 I would jump on the Saints but 2 scores I am not sure. I do think that the over is very doable as Trubinsky will probably have a few picked off and that will set the Saints up for a score or maybe even a pick6. I will gingerly take the points here with the Bears and strongly back the over. Bears and over.

My last pick is the Pittsburgh Steelers at home giving the Cleveland Browns 6 points and the total is 47.  I find it hard to go against the Steelers here as the line is under a td. Big Ben finally found his groove last week with a come from behind win over the Colts and that I think should spark this team to put Cleveland away but not without a fight from the Browns. I think Pitt covers and this game goes over the total. Give me the Steelers and over.  I just realized I took the over in all 3 games so tread lightly. LOL 

And as always  - Remember to bet with your head and not over it.