Here are my first official college football picks for this new website, hopefully I will start off on the right foot. So let's get started.
My first best bet of this 2013 college season is OKLAHOMA STATE at home on Saturday 8/31 giving 12 1/2 points to Mississippi State. Let I said I love stats and this game has quite a few favoring the Cowboys. Okie State is 7-3 ATS their last 10 non-conference games while Miss. State last year was 0-4 ATS against ranked teams losing by an average of 23 ppg . Miss. State also ended the 2012 season the last 6 games going 1-5 ATS. In addition Okie State on offense averaged 45 ppg last year, while Miss. State only averaged 29 ppg which is what Okie State gave up. This game is being played on a neutral site and the Cowboys went 11-4 ATS as away favorites while the Bulldogs went a dismal 1-8 ATS as away underdogs. Everything in my mind points to a comfortable win and cover for Okie State making this a BEST BET.
My next best bet is on FLORIDA STATE, Monday 9/2 on the road giving Pittsburgh 10 points. This is Pittsburgh's initiation into the ACC from the Big East and what a way to start against a FSU team who has their sites set on the National championship game. This pick is not based on stats as the Noles are not good on away night games and were a horrible 0-6 ATS as away favorites, but with that being said, they did win 5 of those 6 games outright, and I can attest to the fact that a lot of those lines were very high pointspreads. I just feel that FSU will be able to cover this 10 point spread so I am making them another BEST BET.
My last best bet for this week is on NORTH TEXAS on Saturday 8/31 at home giving Idaho 14 1/2 points. The major reason is that Idaho is 1-12 in road openers and North Texas has beaten the Vandals 4 out of the last 5 meetings between these two teams. To add to this pick North Texas is returning 17 starters while Idaho is only returning 10 for new head coach Petrino. North Texas has also won the last 4 meetings by an average score of 34-18, which in my book is a win and a cover. North Texas is my last best bet of the first weekend.
I have a few other games that I consider regular plays and certainly worth a few schillings, or if you live in America a few bucks.
I like Nebraska at home spotting Wyoming 28 points, Also Cincinnati at home giving Purdue 10 1/2 points and finally Southern Miss at home giving Texas State 7 1/2.
As for underdogs I like Tulsa on the road getting 3 points from Bowling Green, SMU at home getting 5 1/2 from Texas Tech and finally I like Toledo on the road getting 23 1/2 points from Florida. (I know some of you are saying REALLY taking Toledo in the Swamp, yes you read right.)
Over/Unders this early are hard to predict as I have not seen any of these teams play yet but I do like FIU and Maryland over 49 1/2, Purdue and Cincinnati over 50 1/2 and finally USC and Hawaii over 53 1/2.
Well that's it for Week 1, and all I can say is WELCOME BACK football I know I missed ya.
And as I like to end all my picks -
Always remember to bet with your head and not over it.
